Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 99903.400328 105275.259790 110641.082993 116399.502555 122400.665438 128466.822527 135058.499727
2025-08-31 90327.800727 98497.227621 106881.084834 116117.359438 125996.169206 136234.519104 147636.615142
2025-09-07 84703.278741 94884.799565 105556.992997 117555.474128 130646.627156 144473.852150 160159.860613
2025-09-14 80113.736229 91801.224449 104271.107638 118529.308106 134343.276423 151307.310975 170842.529801
2025-09-21 75819.362209 88643.245077 102541.386013 118669.454606 136814.512523 156541.697060 179553.373208
2025-09-28 72180.196167 85937.441321 101059.105476 118841.227564 139103.273972 161394.997587 187694.946459
2025-10-05 70047.880330 84767.109698 101151.163398 120645.674726 143109.519439 168082.275209 197838.745841
2025-10-12 67991.413549 83541.238741 101054.369045 122121.015441 146649.302524 174179.351373 207281.927699
2025-10-19 65753.843359 81976.635531 100453.425091 122910.577407 149314.901660 179218.456530 215481.696234
2025-10-26 63376.487587 80131.029048 99420.273128 123098.696938 151200.030123 183298.786196 222538.367612
2025-11-02 61363.835855 78628.108986 98708.059613 123588.703321 153376.624912 187674.965234 229918.744893
2025-11-09 59268.720849 76937.543538 97692.963044 123644.521257 154978.205735 191334.571811 236435.585094
2025-11-16 57953.567006 76168.523735 97768.311437 125008.227109 158160.655108 196906.079022 245295.051617
2025-11-23 55968.860477 74502.327784 96693.280319 124924.707677 159563.411870 200343.120159 251619.777503
2025-11-30 54945.720664 73992.534388 96999.156824 126500.864991 162963.447907 206173.416852 260837.399468
2025-12-07 53730.653553 73191.386551 96902.780010 127546.180630 165692.296346 211188.982013 269088.531101
2025-12-14 52159.960952 71881.880513 96122.940483 127697.567867 167286.485612 214808.569835 275644.705076
2025-12-21 50691.241205 70653.822211 95400.792286 127880.540165 168888.284129 218419.486294 282189.419969
2025-12-28 50096.459259 70534.193016 96063.250335 129796.425072 172649.314779 224692.897721 292033.784251
2026-01-04 49380.047151 70226.625493 96462.940066 131362.569692 175966.465986 230428.247868 301244.778567
2026-01-11 48381.710003 69513.028173 96311.610655 132200.633872 178350.241989 235004.879553 309036.904434
2026-01-18 47156.676744 68460.182999 95687.380114 132400.300793 179901.333636 238533.161204 315529.017827
2026-01-25 46121.930474 67631.833493 95328.671689 132920.366079 181846.137620 242550.910601 322645.578759